M. Linz, S. Schuckmann, H.A. von der Gracht, I.-L. Darkow

Our study is intended to present disruptive and challenging events, i.e. wildcard scenarios, which have a significant impact on the aviation industry. We intend to assist decision and policy makers in preparing for the future and to enrich decision making processes on possible courses of action by presenting a robust and reliable decision support system as well as opportunities in strategy and policy. We demonstrate how an Delphi survey (in our case a real-time variant) can be applied as a starting point to systematically develop wildcard scenarios by conducting deductive wildcard analysis.

Deutscher Luft- und Raumfahrtkongress 2011

Conference Paper

englisch

21,0 x 29,7 cm, 3 Seiten

Deutscher Luft- und Raumfahrtkongress Tagungsband - Manuskripte, 2011, 2011; S.1181-1183; 2011; Deutsche Gesellschaft für Luft- und Raumfahrt - Lilienthal-Oberth e.V., Bonn

NA

future of aviation, delphi, scenarios

Bestellbar

2011