J. Schaumeier, M. Shamiyeh, A. Straubinger

This research aims to create a transparent ranking mechanism for eVTOL manufacturers using measures and factors based on evidence from the relevant fields rather than cost proxies or algorithmic black boxes. Two factor groups that are essential when discussing firm survival are considered for the ranking mechanism: technology and certification as well as operational capabilities and resources. The main aim of the technology and certification group is to determine the gap between performance claims established by an eVTOL manufacturer and expected performance calculated with a fast, low-fidelity assessment method considering available vehicle input parameters and state-of-the-art technology assumptions. Further factors include the technology readiness level and the certification progress. In terms of operational capability and resources, we look towards knowledge captured by e.g. network diversity, entrepreneurial knowledge or initiative participation, as well as financial resources such as funding, stock exchange or the number of investors. A delphi study allows us to derive weighting factors to include the relevance of the various factor in the calculation of the overall index. Using the described ranking mechanism, Joby and Volocopter achieve the highest scores and thus have the highest probability of developing their aircraft to market readiness.

Deutscher Luft- und Raumfahrtkongress 2021

Deutsche Gesellschaft für Luft- und Raumfahrt - Lilienthal-Oberth e.V., Bonn, 2022

Conference Paper

englisch

21,0 x 29,7 cm, 16 Seiten

urn:nbn:de:101:1-2022011914404583974823

10.25967/550050

Urban Air Mobility, UAM, VTOL, technology progress, operational capabilities, market opportunities

Download - Bitte beachten Sie die Nutzungsbedingungen dieses Dokuments: CC BY-NC-ND 4.0OPEN ACCESS

Schaumeier, J.; Shamiyeh, M.; Straubinger, A. (2022): It's a Long Way Up: Quantifying Opportunities and Hurdles for VTOL Manufacturers. Deutsche Gesellschaft für Luft- und Raumfahrt - Lilienthal-Oberth e.V.. (Text). https://doi.org/10.25967/550050. urn:nbn:de:101:1-2022011914404583974823.

19.01.2022